8th ISODARCO Beijing Seminar on:
"Arms Control"

BEIJING (CHINA)
14-18, October 2002

Director of the School: Carlo Schaerf

Beijing 2002 Programme List of Participants

PROGRAMME




October 14, Monday

2:00-6:00pmRegistration
6:00pmDinner

Important Note:  Each time slot in the following includes both presentation (20minutes) and discussion (5-10minutes). Chairpersons and presenters are kindly requested to strictly follow this timeline.


October 15, Tuesday, Plenary Session

Chairperson:   Li Hua
9:00-10:00amOpening Adresses:
 Co-Chairman: Academician Hu Side, CAEP, China
Co-Chairman: Prof. Carlo Schaerf, President, ISODARCO, Italy
Co-Chairman: Prof. Wang Zaibang, China Institute of Contemporary International Relations
10:00-10:30amMichael M. May  -   Stanford University, USA
Nuclear Weapons and Strategic Stability
10:30-10:50amTeabreak

Chairperson:   Paolo Cotta-Ramusino
10:50-11:20amFrancesco Calogero  -   University of Rome, Italy
Nuclear Terrorism
11:20-11:50amTian Dongfeng  -   Program for Science and National Security Studies, IAPCM, PRC
The Impact of Moscow Treaty on the Future Situation of International Nuclear Disarmament
11:50-12:15amTaking Group Photo

Parallel Sessions
Session A:   Nuclear Disarmament and Ballistic Missile Defense

Chairperson:   Giancarlo Tenaglia
2:00-2:25pmMarika Vicziany  -   Monash University, Australia
The Future of Nuclear Disarmament in India and Pakistan
2:25-2:50pmRappai Maliakal  -   Institute of Chinese Studies, India
China’s Nuclear Arsenal and Missile Defence-Strategic Analysis Jan-Mar 2002
2:50-3:15pmHe Yan  -   Beijing Institute of System Engineering, PRC
The Latest Development of the U.S. Missile Defense Program and its Influence on the World Security
3:15-3:40pmXia Liping  -   Shanghai Institute for International Studies, PRC
Nuclear Disarmament and Establishing the Framework of Strategic Stability Among Major Powers in the New Century
3:40-4:05pmBruce D. Larkin  -   University of California at Santa Cruz, USA
Action Despite GW Bush: Pursuing Nuclear Disarmament in the Face of Sovereign Unilateralism
4:05-4:25pmTeabreak

Chairperson:   Nishat Ahmed
4:25-4:50pmYou Ji  -   School of Politics and International Relations, University of New South Wales
The NMD Driven-arms Race and Its Impact on Asia-Pacific Security
4:50-5:15pmChen Rong  -   China Institute of International Strategic Studies, PRC
A tentative Analysis of SORT
5:15-5:40pmWang Xin  -   Institute of Electronic Engineering, PRC
The Influence of Information Revolution to the Nuclear Deterrence
 Zhen Huang  -   Department of Political Science & Public Policy University of Waikato
China’s Strategic Nuclear Posture by 2010: Minimum or Limited Deterrence? – Likely Impact of U.S. Missile Defense
 Zhai Yucheng  -   China Defense Science and Technology Information Center, PRC
Arms Control and Disarmament within the New Strategic Framework
6:00-7:30pmReception by the Organizing Committee

Parallel Sessions
Session B:   Non-proliferation, Counter Terrorism and Other Security Issues

Chairperson:   Kathleen Walsh
2:00-2:25pmAnnette Schaper  -   Peace Research Institute Frankfurt Germany
Bio and Nuclear Terrorism: Risk Analysis after September 11, 2001
2:25-2:50pmPeter Blain  -   Newcastle University, UK
Scoping the Threat from Chemical and Biological Terrorism
2:50-3:15pmJohn N. Olsen  -   Cooperative Monitoring Center, Sandia National Laboratory, Albuquerque, NM, USA
Technical Opportunities for Counter-Terrorism Cooperation
3:15-3:40pmLi Wei  -   China Institute of Contemporary International Relations, PRC
The Current Combat and Prospects on Counter International Terrorism
3:40-4:05pmLi Bin  -   Institute of International Studies, Tsinghua University, PRC
Comments on the Chinese Missile Export Control Law
4:05-4:25pmTeabreak

Chairperson:   Gregory Kulacki
4:25-4:50pmLester Paldy  -   State University of New York at Stony Brook, USA
Information as Response to Terrorism: a Role for Universities and Research Organizations
4:50-5:15pmYu Xiaoling  -   China Defense Science and Technology Information Center, PRC
Prevention of Weaponization in Outer Space-an Urgent Task
5:15-5:40pmJeffrey Lewis  -   CISSM, School of Public Affairs University of Maryland, USA
Advanced Methods of Cooperative Security in Outer Space


October 16, Wednesday, Plenary Session

Chairperson:   Lester Paldy
9:00-9:30amMichael Krepon  -   Henry L. Stimson Center, USA
Preventing the Weaponization of Space
9:30-10:00amGu Guoliang  -   Institute of American Studies, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, PRC
Strategic Relation among the Nuclear States
10:00-10:20amTeabreak

Chairperson:   Kunihiko Uematsu
10:20-10:50amRose Gottemoeller  -   Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, USA
Threat Reduction Techniques in the Counterterrorism
10:50-11:20amGert Guenter Harigel  -   European Lab for Particle Physics, CERN, Geneva, Switzerland
Can NMD Still be Stopped?
11:20-11:50amRebecca Johnson  -   The Acronym Institute for Disarmament Diplomacy, UK
Creating the Conditions to Negotiate a Multilateral Space Sanctuary


(Session A)

Chairperson:   Rebecca Johnson
2:00-2:25pmChen Huaifan  -   Chinese People's Association for Peace and Disarmament, PRC
The Role of Nuclear Weapons after the Cold War
2:25-2:50pmWu Tianfu  -   Strategic Teaching and Research Section, The Second Artillery Command College, PRC
Influencing of "US-Russia Treaty on Slashing Strategic Nuclear Arsenals" on the Situation of International Nuclear Arsenals Control and Countermeasure Research
2:50-3:15pmYi Xiandong  -   Institute of Electronic Engineering, PRC
Research of the Video Information Barrier in the Dismantlement Verification.
3:15-3:40pmWei Mengfu  -   China Academy of Engineering Physics, PRC
Nondestructive Analysis of Uranium Isotopic Composition in the Wastebin
3:40-4:05pmKunihiko Uematsu  -   Japan Atomic Industrial Forum, Inc
Disposition of Russian Excess Weapon Pu (Japanese Program)
4:05-4:30pmJin Peng  -   Northwest Institute of Nuclear Technology, PRC
Lowering Nuclear Threshold - a Dangerous Signal to the World
 Kuang Feihong  -  Northwest Institute of Nuclear Technology, PRC
The History and Future of Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban
4:40pmSharp, Evening Excursion with Traditional Cultural Taste


(Session B)

Chairperson:   Shen Dingli
2:00-2:25pmGregory Kulacki  -   Union of Concerned Scientists, USA
Responding to American Unilateralism
2:25-2:50pmTang Dan  -   Institute of Electronic Engineering, PRC
Physical Protection System and Vulnerability Analysis Program in China
2:50-3:15pmHou Hongyu  -   Chinese People's Association for Peace and Disarmament, PRC
Challenges to the International Non-Proliferation Regime
3:15-3:40pmEvan Medeiros  -   RAND Coorporation
Challenges to US-China Cooperation on Arms Control and Nonproliferation
3:40-4:05pmKathleen Walsh  -   Henry L. Stimson Center, USA
Multilateral Export Controls: New Ideas on Enhancing Security and Trade
4:05-4:30pmDuan Zhanyuan  -   China Astronautics Institute, PRC
Nuclear Nonproliferation and CTBT
4:40pmSharp, Evening Excursion with Traditional Cultural Taste


October 17, Thursday, Plenary Session

Chairperson:    Bruce D. Larkin
9:00-9:30amFrank von Hippel  -   Program on Science and Global Security, Princeton University, USA
Reducing Stockpile and Use of Highly-Enriched Uranium
9:30-10:00amCarin Atterling Wedar  -   University of Lector, Sweden
Steps towards Elimination of Nuclear Weapons
10:00-10:20amTeabreak

Chairperson:    Robert Norris
10:20-10:50amTan Han  -   Chinese Arms Control and Disarmament Association, PRC
The Impact on the Deployment of the NMD by Bush Administration on International Stability
10:50-11:20amSridhar K Chari  -   National Institute of Advanced Studies, India
Nuclear Weapons and Strategic Stability
11:20-11:50amHouston Hawkins  -   Los Alamos National Laboratory, USA
Countering Terrorism: the Revolution of Technology


(Session A)

Chairperson:    Stephen Schwartz
2:00-2:25pmGert Guenter Harigel  -   European Lab for Particle Physics, CERN, Geneva, Switzerland
Time and Defense: The History of Defense Systems and Remarks on the National Missile Defense (NMD)
2:25-2:50pmWu Changli  -   China Astronautics Institute, PRC
The Influence of the BMD System on the World Security
2:50-3:15pmChen Qianghong  -   Institute of Structural Mechanics, PRC
A Preliminary Analysis on Temperature Discrimination Capability of US NMD System EKV IR Sensor
3:15-3:40pmFu Hanqing  -   Institute of Applied Physics and Computational Mathematics, PRC
Layered Missile Defense System and Space Security
3:40-4:05pmMasako Ikegami-Anderson  -   Center for Pacific Asia Studies, Stockholm University
Missile Defense in East Asia Inspection and Potential Risk
4:30pmSharp, Leaving for Honored Banquet with the Vice Chairman of the Standing Committee of Chinese National People's Congress

(Session B)

Chairperson:    John Olsen
2:00-2:25pmJoseph Pilat  -   Los Alamos National Laboratory, USA
Nuclear Forces, Arms Control, Nonproliferation and Counterterrorism: Technical and Policy Dimensions
2:25-2:50pmLi Daozhong  -   China Institute of International Strategic Studies, PRC
The Common Grounds and Differences between China and USA on WMD Nonproliferation
2:50-3:15pmShen Dingli  -   Center for American Studies, Fudan University, PRC
WMD Terrorism and Nonproliferation
3:15-3:40pmJungmin Kang  -   Associate (independent contractor) of Nautilus Institute, Republic of Korea
Speeding up the Implementation of the 1994 US-DPRK Agreed Framework
3:40-4:05pmGeorge Lindsey  -   Canadian Institute of Strategic Studies, Canada
Proliferation, Defense, and Deterrence
4:30pmSharp, Leaving for Honored Banquet with the Vice Chairman of the Standing Committee of Chinese National People's Congress


October 18, Friday, Plenary Session

Chairperson:    Peter Blain
9:00-10:00amLiu Jieyi  -   Director-General, The Department of Arms Control and Disarmament, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, PRC
Invited Speech
10:00-10:20amTeabreak


Panel Discussion

Chairperson:    Li Hua
10:20-12:20amIraq Issues: Solutions & Consequences --- War? Peace? or …?


(Session A+ B + Plenary Session)

Chairperson:    Tian Dongfeng
2:00-2:25pmJing-dong Yuan  -   Monterey Institute of International Studies
US Missile Defenses and Strategic Stability in Asia
2:25-2:50pmStephen Schwartz  -   Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists/Educational Foundation for Nuclear Science, USA
Is Smaller Better (or Necessary)? The U. S. Drive to Develop and Deploy Low-Yield Nuclear Weapons
2:50-3:15pmLi Wei  -   Institute of Nuclear Physics and Chemistry, PRC
The Noble Gas Detection Technique for the On-site Inspection of the CTBT
3:15-3:40pmGert Guenter Harigel  -   European Lab for Particle Physics, CERN, Geneva, Switzerland
Preventing Terrorists from Acquisition of WMDs
3:40-4:05pmLiu Gongliang  -   Institute of Applied Physics and Computational Mathematics, PRC
Technical Challenge to Irreversible Deep Nuclear Disarmament
4:05-5:05pmClosing Addresses by Co-Chairmen

 
 

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